Season2026·Week1
UpgradeBAL vs IND · Week 1
WR25 yrsBoston College17 games of history
Projection
15.9
Floor
8.3
Ceiling
27.5
Edge vs market
+2.7
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
5.3%
Spike rate
30%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ PIT | 98% | 6 | 35% |
Leverage
2.55×
Hits his ceiling 30% of the time at a projected 5.3% ownership — 2.55× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 13 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 138 |
| 2 |
| 1.76 |
| 29.8 |
| 17 | @ GB | 68% | 5 | 25% | 0 | 30 | 1 | 0.75 | 13.0 |
| 16 | vs NE | 89% | 7 | 35% | 1 | 102 | 1 | 0.87 | 21.2 |
| 15 | @ CIN | 78% | 5 | 42% | 0 | 68 | 1 | 0.24 | 15.8 |
| 14 | vs PIT | 92% | 11 | 33% | 1 | 126 | 0 | 0.56 | 20.6 |
| 13 | vs CIN | 95% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 6 | 0 | -1.58 | 0.6 |
| 12 | vs NYJ | 84% | 6 | 30% | 2 | 69 | 0 | 0.61 | 11.9 |
| 11 | @ CLE | 89% | 5 | 20% | 1 | 83 | 0 | 0.72 | 11.3 |
| 10 | @ MIN | 83% | 6 | 21% | 1 | 81 | 0 | 0.41 | 12.1 |
| 9 | @ MIA | 82% | 5 | 22% | 0 | 64 | 0 | 0.75 | 11.4 |
| 8 | vs CHI | 95% | 9 | 41% | 1 | 71 | 0 | 0.49 | 14.1 |
| 6 | vs LA | 91% | 10 | 31% | 0 | 46 | 0 | -1.03 | 8.6 |