NFL · Week 1

Player Board

Every modeled player, sortable by any column. Projection, distribution, edge against the market, and the Contra engine's ownership read — side by side, because they answer different questions.

601 players

#	Player	Matchup									Read
1	TETrey McBride	ARI vs LAC	21.2	12.6	34.2	0.0	9.9%	3.38×	72	98%	consensus
2	WRJa'Marr Chase	CIN vs TB	20.4	13.4	31.1	+0.0	13.7%	1.70×	64	96%	consensus
3	RBBijan Robinson	ATL vs PIT	19.7	8.6	36.8	-0.0	13.5%	1.62×	65	98%	consensus
4	WRAmon-Ra St. Brown	DET vs NO	19.6	9.3	35.5	+0.3	11.7%	1.85×	66	98%	leverage
5	WRJaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA vs NE	19.6	12.5	30.4	0.0	11.6%	1.83×	64	98%	consensus
6	RBChristian McCaffreyQues	SF vs LAR	19.4	11.2	32.0	+1.9	12.6%	1.67×	65	94%	leverage
7	WRPuka NacuaQues	LAR vs SF	19.3	9.1	34.9	-0.3	11.0%	1.91×	66	98%	consensus
8	KBrandon Aubrey	DAL vs NYG	18.8	16.4	22.4	0.0	19.2%	2.32×	60	98%	consensus
9	WRChris Olave	NO vs DET	18.4	9.6	31.8	+3.2	8.9%	2.16×	67	96%	leverage
10	RBJahmyr Gibbs	DET vs NO	18.3	5.7	37.5	-1.2	10.1%	1.98×	66	98%	consensus
11	TEKyle Pitts	ATL vs PIT	17.8	6.7	34.7	+3.3	4.7%	5.57×	81	98%	leverage
12	RBChase Brown	CIN vs TB	17.5	10.8	27.6	+3.7	8.4%	1.90×	64	98%	leverage
13	WRMichael Wilson	ARI vs LAC	17.3	8.4	30.8	+5.7	6.7%	2.55×	72	98%	leverage
14	RBDe'Von Achane	MIA vs LV	17.1	11.1	26.2	+0.8	7.8%	1.82×	61	96%	leverage
15	WRWan'Dale Robinson	TEN vs NYJ	16.6	9.1	27.9	+5.6	5.6%	2.61×	72	96%	leverage
16	RBJonathan Taylor	IND vs BAL	16.5	6.0	32.4	-1.8	7.0%	2.38×	67	98%	consensus
17	RBDerrick Henry	BAL vs IND	16.3	5.2	33.2	-0.2	6.7%	2.50×	68	98%	consensus
18	TEColston Loveland	CHI vs CAR	16.3	8.5	28.1	0.0	3.6%	6.89×	82	96%	consensus
19	TEHarold Fannin	CLE vs JAX	16.2	10.7	24.8	+0.1	3.5%	7.39×	80	96%	leverage
20	TEBrock Bowers	LV vs MIA	16.1	8.3	28.1	-1.7	3.6%	6.84×	81	88%	consensus
21	WRA.J. Brown	NE vs SEA	16.1	8.2	28.3	0.0	5.7%	2.50×	65	91%	consensus
22	TEGeorge KittlePUP	SF vs LAR	16.1	8.8	27.1	+2.0	3.3%	7.54×	82	83%	leverage
23	WRZay Flowers	BAL vs IND	15.9	8.3	27.5	+2.7	5.3%	2.55×	67	98%	leverage
24	WRRashee Rice	KC vs DEN	15.8	8.2	27.4	+0.5	5.3%	2.52×	65	76%	leverage
25	RBAshton Jeanty	LV vs MIA	15.7	7.7	27.9	0.0	5.9%	2.29×	64	98%	consensus
26	WRGeorge Pickens	DAL vs NYG	15.3	6.2	29.3	-0.5	4.9%	2.88×	67	98%	consensus
27	WRJameson Williams	DET vs NO	15.3	7.4	27.3	+2.4	4.6%	2.72×	67	98%	leverage
28	WRNico Collins	HOU vs BUF	15.2	9.2	24.3	-0.7	4.7%	2.09×	60	94%	consensus
29	WRDrake London	ATL vs PIT	15.2	4.8	31.0	-1.5	4.7%	3.09×	68	88%	consensus
30	TETravis Kelce	KC vs DEN	15.0	9.0	24.3	+1.6	2.7%	8.41×	80	98%	leverage
31	RBJames Cook	BUF vs HOU	14.8	5.3	29.4	-2.3	5.0%	2.69×	66	98%	consensus
32	WRParker Washington	JAX vs CLE	14.8	7.6	25.6	+3.1	9.4%	1.15×	61	96%	consensus
33	RBSaquon Barkley	PHI vs WSH	14.7	8.1	24.6	0.0	4.8%	2.02×	61	93%	consensus
34	WRCeeDee Lamb	DAL vs NYG	14.6	8.2	24.4	-3.9	4.3%	2.21×	59	90%	consensus
35	WRTee Higgins	CIN vs TB	14.5	7.5	25.2	-0.6	4.1%	2.51×	62	94%	consensus
36	TETyler Warren	IND vs BAL	14.5	10.6	20.4	-1.8	2.5%	7.94×	76	98%	consensus
37	TEDalton Schultz	HOU vs BUF	14.4	9.0	22.6	+1.3	2.3%	8.73×	79	94%	leverage
38	QBTrevor Lawrence	JAX vs CLE	14.4	6.1	27.0	+2.5	4.4%	1.35×	61	98%	consensus
39	WRJustin Jefferson	MIN vs GB	14.3	8.8	22.8	-3.0	4.0%	1.83×	57	98%	consensus
40	WRDavante Adams	LAR vs SF	14.3	7.8	24.2	+1.2	3.9%	2.35×	62	94%	leverage
41	TEJuwan Johnson	NO vs DET	14.3	10.3	20.5	+2.5	2.3%	8.51×	78	98%	leverage
42	RBKyren Williams	LAR vs SF	14.2	9.5	21.4	0.0	4.4%	1.25×	56	98%	consensus
43	TETucker KraftQues	GB vs MIN	14.2	4.5	29.0	-0.9	2.3%	9.00×	81	76%	consensus
44	TESam LaPorta	DET vs NO	14.1	8.1	23.2	-2.0	2.3%	8.63×	77	80%	consensus
45	WRCourtland Sutton	DEN vs KC	14.0	6.8	25.0	+2.2	3.5%	2.72×	66	98%	leverage
46	TEDallas Goedert	PHI vs WSH	13.9	7.4	23.9	+0.0	2.1%	9.13×	79	91%	consensus
47	RBTravis Etienne	NO vs DET	13.8	6.2	25.4	+1.1	3.9%	2.48×	64	98%	leverage
48	WRJakobi Meyers	JAX vs CLE	13.7	10.0	19.4	+2.2	3.3%	0.74×	55	93%	consensus
49	TEColby Parkinson	LAR vs SF	13.4	6.8	23.6	+3.2	1.8%	9.94×	80	98%	leverage
50	RBOmarion Hampton	LAC vs ARI	13.4	7.1	23.0	-1.4	3.8%	1.90×	58	80%	consensus
51	QBMatthew Stafford	LAR vs SF	13.3	6.9	23.2	+2.6	3.4%	0.76×	58	95%	consensus
52	RBRhamondre Stevenson	NE vs SEA	13.3	2.6	29.7	+1.4	3.5%	3.52×	72	92%	leverage
53	TEHunter Henry	NE vs SEA	13.3	7.6	21.9	-0.7	1.9%	9.17×	77	94%	consensus
54	RBTyrone Tracy	NYG vs DAL	13.3	4.9	26.0	+4.8	3.2%	3.05×	71	94%	leverage
55	WRTetairoa McMillan	CAR vs CHI	13.2	6.0	24.2	-1.6	3.1%	2.63×	62	98%	consensus
56	QBPatrick MahomesQues	KC vs DEN	13.2	5.4	25.0	+1.2	3.5%	1.19×	59	89%	consensus
57	TECade Otton	TB vs CIN	13.2	6.6	23.2	+3.4	1.7%	10.25×	81	94%	leverage
58	WRDK MetcalfQues	PIT vs ATL	13.1	7.7	21.3	+1.5	2.9%	1.71×	59	91%	consensus
59	QBBo Nix	DEN vs KC	13.1	6.3	23.4	+1.4	3.4%	0.82×	57	98%	consensus
60	RBBreece Hall	NYJ vs TEN	13.1	6.2	23.6	-0.2	3.4%	2.21×	61	96%	consensus