Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSEA vs NE · Week 1
RBPUP25 yrsUCLA16 games of history
Projection
11.9
Floor
4.9
Ceiling
22.5
Edge vs market
+3.1
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.5%
Spike rate
13%
Leverage
2.39×
Hits his ceiling 13% of the time at a projected 2.5% ownership — 2.39× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 13 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ SF | 57% | 4 | 15% | 17 | 97 | 1 | -0.12 | 18.7 |
| 17 | @ CAR | 53% | 2 | 8% | 18 | 122 | 2 | 0.54 | 26.2 |
| 16 | vs LA | 56% | 4 | 13% | 9 | 54 | 1 | 0.20 | 17.4 |
| 15 | vs IND | 55% | 1 | 3% | 8 | 31 | 0 | -0.23 | 3.1 |
| 14 | @ ATL | 41% | 3 | 10% | 7 | 66 | 0 | 0.11 | 8.6 |
| 13 | vs MIN | 39% | 0 | 0% | 14 | 52 | 1 | 0.05 | 11.2 |
| 12 | @ TEN | 31% | 0 | 0% | 6 | 35 | 1 | 0.56 | 9.5 |
| 11 | @ LA | 43% | 2 | 5% | 11 | 47 | 0 | -0.00 | 6.7 |
| 10 | vs ARI | 37% | 0 | 0% | 14 | 83 | 1 | 0.28 | 14.3 |
| 9 | @ WAS | 35% | 1 | 4% | 8 | 46 | 0 | 0.11 | 5.6 |
| 7 | vs HOU | 51% | 2 | 7% | 12 | 55 | 2 | -0.11 | 19.5 |
| 6 | @ JAX | 60% | 1 | 4% | 12 | 37 | 0 | -0.48 | 4.7 |