Season2026·Week1
UpgradeATL vs PIT · Week 1
RB24 yrsTexas17 games of history
Projection
19.7
Floor
8.6
Ceiling
36.8
Edge vs market
-0.0
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
13.5%
Spike rate
49%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs NO | 84% | 3 | 10% |
1.62×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 15 |
| 43 |
| 0 |
| -0.36 |
| 7.3 |
| 17 | vs LA | 79% | 8 | 40% | 22 | 229 | 2 | 0.21 | 39.9 |
| 16 | @ ARI | 70% | 11 | 32% | 16 | 168 | 1 | 0.03 | 29.8 |
| 15 | @ TB | 90% | 11 | 27% | 19 | 175 | 1 | 0.05 | 29.5 |
| 14 | vs SEA | 67% | 2 | 7% | 20 | 94 | 0 | -0.25 | 9.4 |
| 13 | @ NYJ | 87% | 7 | 23% | 23 | 193 | 1 | 0.24 | 30.3 |
| 12 | @ NO | 66% | 2 | 10% | 14 | 107 | 0 | 0.26 | 14.7 |
| 11 | vs CAR | 85% | 5 | 17% | 23 | 143 | 2 | 0.01 | 30.3 |
| 10 | @ IND | 86% | 2 | 8% | 17 | 88 | 0 | -0.08 | 10.8 |
| 9 | @ NE | 96% | 10 | 29% | 12 | 96 | 0 | -0.03 | 17.6 |
| 8 | vs MIA | 60% | 3 | 10% | 9 | 48 | 0 | -0.56 | 5.8 |
| 7 | @ SF | 88% | 8 | 22% | 14 | 92 | 1 | 0.05 | 21.2 |