Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSEA vs NE · Week 1
WR24 yrsOhio State17 games of history
Projection
19.6
Floor
12.5
Ceiling
30.4
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
11.6%
Spike rate
48%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ SF | 83% | 8 | 31% |
Leverage
1.83×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 84 |
| 0 |
| 0.73 |
| 14.4 |
| 17 | @ CAR | 89% | 12 | 46% | 0 | 72 | 0 | 0.13 | 16.2 |
| 16 | vs LA | 96% | 13 | 42% | 0 | 96 | 1 | 0.03 | 23.6 |
| 15 | vs IND | 92% | 9 | 27% | 0 | 113 | 0 | 0.68 | 18.3 |
| 14 | @ ATL | 72% | 10 | 33% | 1 | 91 | 2 | 0.60 | 28.1 |
| 13 | vs MIN | 82% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 23 | 0 | 0.28 | 4.3 |
| 12 | @ TEN | 79% | 10 | 40% | 1 | 171 | 2 | 1.25 | 37.1 |
| 11 | @ LA | 83% | 12 | 29% | 1 | 116 | 0 | 0.07 | 20.6 |
| 10 | vs ARI | 42% | 6 | 50% | 0 | 93 | 1 | 0.43 | 20.3 |
| 9 | @ WAS | 67% | 9 | 38% | 1 | 140 | 0 | 0.74 | 22.0 |
| 7 | vs HOU | 88% | 14 | 48% | 0 | 123 | 1 | 0.30 | 26.3 |
| 6 | @ JAX | 82% | 13 | 54% | 0 | 162 | 1 | 0.63 | 30.2 |