Season2026·Week1
UpgradeJAX vs CLE · Week 1
WR24 yrsPenn State16 games of history
Projection
14.8
Floor
7.6
Ceiling
25.6
Edge vs market
+3.1
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
9.3%
Spike rate
24%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs TEN | 74% | 9 | 29% |
Leverage
1.15×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 87 |
| 1 |
| 0.29 |
| 19.7 |
| 17 | @ IND | 81% | 10 | 27% | 1 | 110 | 0 | 0.43 | 19.0 |
| 16 | @ DEN | 56% | 10 | 29% | 0 | 145 | 1 | 1.42 | 26.5 |
| 15 | vs NYJ | 45% | 3 | 11% | 0 | 53 | 0 | 1.71 | 8.3 |
| 13 | @ TEN | 38% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0.18 | 3.6 |
| 12 | @ ARI | 84% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 71 | 1 | 0.64 | 18.1 |
| 11 | vs LAC | 76% | 2 | 9% | 0 | 20 | 0 | 0.88 | 4.0 |
| 10 | @ HOU | 87% | 7 | 30% | 2 | 29 | 1 | -0.37 | 17.9 |
| 9 | @ LV | 88% | 9 | 27% | 0 | 90 | 0 | 0.53 | 17.0 |
| 7 | vs LA | 88% | 10 | 21% | 3 | 62 | 0 | -0.07 | 10.2 |
| 6 | vs SEA | 33% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 29 | 0 | 0.66 | 4.9 |
| 5 | vs KC | 26% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 16 | 1 | -1.13 | 9.6 |