Season2026·Week1
UpgradeGB vs MIN · Week 1
TEQuestionable25 yrsSouth Dakota State8 games of history
Projection
14.2
Floor
4.5
Ceiling
29.0
Edge vs market
-0.9
Confidence
76%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.3%
Spike rate
47%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | vs CAR | 49% | 3 | 9% |
Leverage
8.98×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 0.67 |
| 4.0 |
| 8 | @ PIT | 92% | 9 | 26% | 0 | 143 | 2 | 1.29 | 33.3 |
| 7 | @ ARI | 89% | 10 | 36% | 0 | 58 | 1 | 0.36 | 16.8 |
| 6 | vs CIN | 92% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 43 | 1 | 1.87 | 12.3 |
| 4 | @ DAL | 95% | 5 | 14% | 0 | 56 | 0 | 1.02 | 10.6 |
| 3 | @ CLE | 88% | 4 | 16% | 0 | 29 | 0 | 0.35 | 5.9 |
| 2 | vs WAS | 91% | 7 | 26% | 0 | 124 | 1 | 1.53 | 24.4 |
| 1 | vs DET | 92% | 4 | 18% | 1 | 19 | 1 | 0.07 | 9.9 |