Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLV vs MIA · Week 1
TE25 yrsNotre Dame13 games of history
Projection
9.9
Floor
4.3
Ceiling
18.4
Edge vs market
+1.7
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.4%
Spike rate
19%
Leverage
6.14×
Hits his ceiling 19% of the time at a projected 1.4% ownership — 6.14× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 14 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs KC | 95% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 47 | 0 | -0.04 | 7.7 |
| 17 | vs NYG | 93% | 10 | 36% | 0 | 89 | 0 | -0.03 | 17.9 |
| 16 | @ HOU | 67% | 3 | 14% | 0 | 10 | 0 | -0.29 | 2.0 |
| 15 | @ PHI | 19% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |
| 12 | vs CLE | 16% | 1 | 2% | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.29 | 2.4 |
| 11 | vs DAL | 77% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 13 | 0 | -0.33 | 4.3 |
| 10 | @ DEN | 62% | 4 | 16% | 0 | 22 | 0 | -0.24 | 5.2 |
| 9 | vs JAX | 83% | 7 | 18% | 0 | 26 | 0 | -1.21 | 5.6 |
| 7 | @ KC | 94% | 2 | 12% | 0 | 10 | 0 | -0.69 | 2.0 |
| 6 | vs TEN | 92% | 7 | 30% | 0 | 50 | 1 | -0.10 | 16.0 |
| 3 | @ WAS | 8% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.72 | 0.0 |
| 2 | vs LAC | 34% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 9 | 0 | -0.06 | 2.9 |