Season2026·Week1
UpgradeMIA vs LV · Week 1
RB24 yrsTexas A&M16 games of history
Projection
17.1
Floor
11.1
Ceiling
26.2
Edge vs market
+0.8
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
7.8%
Spike rate
32%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs TB | 75% | 3 | 14% |
Leverage
1.82×
Hits his ceiling 32% of the time at a projected 7.8% ownership — 1.82× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 2 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 18 |
| 112 |
| 0 |
| -0.01 |
| 14.2 |
| 16 | vs CIN | 71% | 3 | 10% | 15 | 90 | 1 | -0.14 | 18.0 |
| 15 | @ PIT | 80% | 6 | 23% | 12 | 127 | 0 | 0.22 | 18.7 |
| 14 | @ NYJ | 34% | 1 | 5% | 7 | 105 | 1 | 0.94 | 17.5 |
| 13 | vs NO | 73% | 1 | 5% | 22 | 134 | 1 | 0.15 | 19.4 |
| 11 | vs WAS | 80% | 5 | 25% | 21 | 165 | 0 | 0.02 | 21.5 |
| 10 | vs BUF | 89% | 6 | 29% | 22 | 225 | 2 | 0.36 | 40.5 |
| 9 | vs BAL | 91% | 10 | 27% | 14 | 106 | 0 | -0.32 | 16.6 |
| 8 | @ ATL | 67% | 7 | 26% | 18 | 91 | 1 | -0.06 | 20.1 |
| 7 | @ CLE | 55% | 5 | 17% | 13 | 98 | 0 | -0.51 | 12.8 |
| 6 | vs LAC | 85% | 6 | 20% | 16 | 150 | 2 | 0.15 | 31.0 |
| 5 | @ CAR | 87% | 7 | 21% | 10 | 46 | 1 | -0.15 | 16.6 |