Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCIN vs TB · Week 1
RB26 yrsIllinois17 games of history
Projection
17.5
Floor
10.8
Ceiling
27.6
Edge vs market
+3.7
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
8.4%
Spike rate
36%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs CLE | 56% | 6 | 16% |
Leverage
1.90×
Hits his ceiling 36% of the time at a projected 8.4% ownership — 1.90× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 8 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 13 |
| 90 |
| 1 |
| -0.01 |
| 19.0 |
| 17 | vs ARI | 61% | 3 | 9% | 22 | 141 | 2 | 0.13 | 29.1 |
| 16 | @ MIA | 61% | 4 | 13% | 12 | 109 | 3 | 0.52 | 32.9 |
| 15 | vs BAL | 62% | 7 | 19% | 13 | 90 | 0 | 0.16 | 16.0 |
| 14 | @ BUF | 67% | 4 | 11% | 12 | 35 | 2 | -0.23 | 18.5 |
| 13 | @ BAL | 60% | 7 | 16% | 15 | 113 | 0 | -0.01 | 18.3 |
| 12 | vs NE | 89% | 4 | 12% | 19 | 130 | 0 | -0.01 | 15.0 |
| 11 | @ PIT | 82% | 8 | 21% | 18 | 127 | 0 | 0.00 | 18.7 |
| 9 | vs CHI | 96% | 14 | 31% | 11 | 112 | 0 | -0.15 | 19.2 |
| 8 | vs NYJ | 54% | 3 | 9% | 12 | 105 | 2 | 0.36 | 25.5 |
| 7 | vs PIT | 63% | 4 | 9% | 11 | 100 | 0 | 0.05 | 12.0 |
| 6 | @ GB | 54% | 2 | 5% | 9 | 49 | 0 | 0.05 | 8.9 |