Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDET vs NO · Week 1
RB24 yrsAlabama17 games of history
Projection
18.3
Floor
5.7
Ceiling
37.5
Edge vs market
-1.2
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
10.1%
Spike rate
45%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ CHI | 71% | 5 | 14% |
Leverage
1.98×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 19 |
| 113 |
| 1 |
| 0.10 |
| 20.3 |
| 17 | @ MIN | 69% | 3 | 10% | 17 | 64 | 0 | -0.55 | 6.4 |
| 16 | vs PIT | 86% | 13 | 25% | 7 | 68 | 1 | -0.07 | 22.8 |
| 15 | @ LA | 81% | 7 | 18% | 13 | 58 | 0 | -0.32 | 9.8 |
| 14 | vs DAL | 69% | 7 | 23% | 12 | 120 | 3 | 0.30 | 37.0 |
| 13 | vs GB | 70% | 4 | 15% | 20 | 86 | 0 | -0.28 | 11.6 |
| 12 | vs NYG | 74% | 12 | 32% | 15 | 264 | 3 | 0.50 | 55.4 |
| 11 | @ PHI | 73% | 8 | 22% | 12 | 146 | 0 | 0.03 | 19.6 |
| 10 | @ WAS | 50% | 4 | 13% | 15 | 172 | 3 | 0.63 | 38.2 |
| 9 | vs MIN | 66% | 3 | 8% | 9 | 28 | 0 | -0.44 | 5.8 |
| 7 | vs TB | 56% | 3 | 11% | 17 | 218 | 2 | 0.66 | 36.8 |
| 6 | @ KC | 69% | 2 | 7% | 17 | 65 | 0 | -0.17 | 7.5 |