Season2026·Week1
UpgradePIT vs ATL · Week 1
RB27 yrsOklahoma State16 games of history
Projection
12.4
Floor
6.0
Ceiling
22.0
Edge vs market
+0.2
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.9%
Spike rate
13%
Leverage
1.93×
Hits his ceiling 13% of the time at a projected 2.9% ownership — 1.93× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 3 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs BAL | 37% | 5 | 11% | 14 | 99 | 0 | 0.06 | 14.9 |
| 17 | @ CLE | 32% | 0 | 0% | 12 | 64 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.4 |
| 16 | @ DET | 49% | 2 | 5% | 14 | 151 | 2 | 0.32 | 29.1 |
| 15 | vs MIA | 45% | 3 | 11% | 12 | 48 | 0 | -0.23 | 7.8 |
| 14 | @ BAL | 50% | 3 | 9% | 8 | 62 | 1 | 0.21 | 15.2 |
| 13 | vs BUF | 56% | 4 | 18% | 10 | 44 | 1 | -0.00 | 12.4 |
| 12 | @ CHI | 50% | 0 | 0% | 18 | 68 | 1 | 0.03 | 12.8 |
| 11 | vs CIN | 28% | 2 | 7% | 10 | 67 | 0 | -0.02 | 8.7 |
| 10 | @ LAC | 46% | 2 | 7% | 14 | 91 | 0 | 0.08 | 11.1 |
| 9 | vs IND | 56% | 2 | 6% | 16 | 29 | 2 | -0.38 | 16.9 |
| 8 | vs GB | 62% | 3 | 9% | 13 | 73 | 0 | -0.18 | 9.3 |
| 7 | @ CIN | 65% | 5 | 15% | 16 | 158 | 0 | 0.32 | 19.8 |