Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTEN vs NYJ · Week 1
TE25 yrsSan Diego State13 games of history
Projection
7.1
Floor
2.2
Ceiling
14.4
Edge vs market
+1.0
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
6%
Leverage
2.61×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DAL | 92% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 38 | 1 | 2.86 | 11.8 |
| 17 | @ LV | 97% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 11 | 0 | -0.20 | 3.1 |
| 15 | vs WAS | 26% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 35 | 0 | 0.91 | 6.5 |
| 12 | @ DET | 62% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.60 | 0.0 |
| 11 | vs GB | 47% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.84 | 0.0 |
| 10 | @ CHI | 73% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 8 | 0 | -1.44 | 1.8 |
| 8 | @ PHI | 40% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 21 | 0 | 1.27 | 3.1 |
| 7 | @ DEN | 68% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 88 | 1 | 1.80 | 17.8 |
| 5 | @ NO | 52% | 4 | 10% | 0 | 52 | 0 | 1.36 | 9.2 |
| 4 | vs LAC | 32% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 13 | 0 | 2.34 | 2.3 |
| 3 | vs KC | 24% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.15 | 1.6 |
| 2 | @ DAL | 28% | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 0.0 |