Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNO vs DET · Week 1
WR26 yrsNotre Dame5 games of history
Projection
8.0
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
15.6
Edge vs market
+3.4
Confidence
60%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
1%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ ATL | 97% | 9 | 26% |
Leverage
0.49×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 37 |
| 0 |
| -0.22 |
| 7.7 |
| 17 | @ TEN | 81% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 52 | 1 | 0.60 | 15.2 |
| 16 | vs NYJ | 86% | 3 | 6% | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.00 | 3.8 |
| 15 | vs CAR | 38% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.3 |
| 3 | @ SEA | 30% | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.23 | 0.0 |