Season2026·Week1
UpgradeSF vs LAR · Week 1
QB26 yrsIowa State9 games of history
Projection
11.4
Floor
0.6
Ceiling
27.9
Edge vs market
+0.3
Confidence
80%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.4%
Spike rate
13%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs SEA | 100% | 0 | 0% |
Leverage
2.48×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 2 |
| 148 |
| 0 |
| -0.44 |
| 5.2 |
| 17 | vs CHI | 100% | 0 | 0% | 6 | 331 | 5 | 0.41 | 36.9 |
| 16 | @ IND | 95% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 306 | 5 | 0.63 | 30.9 |
| 15 | vs TEN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 7 | 339 | 3 | 0.60 | 26.2 |
| 13 | @ CLE | 94% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 172 | 2 | 0.14 | 17.1 |
| 12 | vs CAR | 100% | 0 | 0% | 6 | 209 | 1 | 0.01 | 7.3 |
| 11 | @ ARI | 91% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 193 | 3 | 0.26 | 19.3 |
| 4 | vs JAX | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 322 | 2 | 0.12 | 17.7 |
| 1 | @ SEA | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 294 | 2 | 0.36 | 16.8 |