Season2026·Week1
UpgradeMIA vs LV · Week 1
TE26 yrsUCLA9 games of history
Projection
9.0
Floor
5.2
Ceiling
15.0
Edge vs market
-0.3
Confidence
80%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.4%
Spike rate
7%
Leverage
2.23×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ NE | 52% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 31 | 0 | 0.74 | 6.1 |
| 17 | vs TB | 36% | 6 | 27% | 1 | 51 | 1 | 0.52 | 16.1 |
| 16 | vs CIN | 29% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 46 | 0 | -0.41 | 5.6 |
| 15 | @ PIT | 38% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 46 | 0 | 0.75 | 6.6 |
| 14 | @ NYJ | 54% | 3 | 14% | 0 | 41 | 0 | 1.13 | 7.1 |
| 13 | vs NO | 37% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 24 | 0 | 1.02 | 4.4 |
| 11 | vs WAS | 54% | 4 | 20% | 0 | 18 | 0 | 0.03 | 3.8 |
| 10 | vs BUF | 58% | 4 | 19% | 0 | 22 | 0 | 0.07 | 3.2 |
| 9 | vs BAL | 36% | 5 | 14% | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0.64 | 9.9 |