Season2026·Week1
UpgradeGB vs MIN · Week 1
WR27 yrsNorth Dakota State10 games of history
Projection
11.9
Floor
4.2
Ceiling
23.5
Edge vs market
+0.1
Confidence
83%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.3%
Spike rate
16%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs BAL | 62% | 6 | 24% |
Leverage
3.00×
Hits his ceiling 16% of the time at a projected 2.3% ownership — 3.00× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 1 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 113 |
| 1 |
| 1.37 |
| 22.3 |
| 16 | @ CHI | 62% | 6 | 25% | 0 | 17 | 0 | -0.79 | 3.7 |
| 15 | @ DEN | 41% | 5 | 14% | 0 | 29 | 0 | -0.41 | 5.9 |
| 14 | vs CHI | 83% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 89 | 2 | 2.41 | 24.9 |
| 13 | @ DET | 73% | 10 | 34% | 1 | 83 | 1 | 0.29 | 18.3 |
| 12 | vs MIN | 74% | 7 | 33% | 0 | 49 | 0 | 0.61 | 9.9 |
| 11 | @ NYG | 78% | 5 | 20% | 0 | 46 | 2 | 1.19 | 20.6 |
| 10 | vs PHI | 82% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0.46 | 6.5 |
| 9 | vs CAR | 66% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 58 | 0 | -0.21 | 7.8 |
| 8 | @ PIT | 56% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 85 | 0 | 1.63 | 12.5 |