Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYJ vs TEN · Week 1
RB25 yrsIowa State16 games of history
Projection
13.1
Floor
6.2
Ceiling
23.6
Edge vs market
-0.2
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.4%
Spike rate
17%
Leverage
2.21×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs NE | 48% | 3 | 9% | 14 | 129 | 1 | 0.23 | 20.9 |
| 16 | @ NO | 64% | 3 | 9% | 16 | 63 | 0 | -0.06 | 8.3 |
| 15 | @ JAX | 54% | 2 | 6% | 12 | 37 | 0 | -0.44 | 5.7 |
| 14 | vs MIA | 76% | 1 | 3% | 14 | 43 | 0 | -0.30 | 4.3 |
| 13 | vs ATL | 88% | 2 | 6% | 19 | 76 | 1 | -0.05 | 15.6 |
| 12 | @ BAL | 71% | 4 | 15% | 16 | 119 | 0 | -0.16 | 13.9 |
| 11 | @ NE | 72% | 2 | 8% | 14 | 64 | 0 | -0.02 | 8.4 |
| 10 | vs CLE | 71% | 1 | 9% | 21 | 125 | 1 | 0.11 | 19.5 |
| 8 | @ CIN | 56% | 3 | 10% | 18 | 151 | 3 | 0.24 | 32.9 |
| 7 | vs CAR | 54% | 3 | 10% | 11 | 52 | 0 | -0.08 | 7.2 |
| 6 | vs DEN | 74% | 0 | 0% | 22 | 59 | 0 | -0.15 | 5.9 |
| 5 | vs DAL | 62% | 5 | 11% | 14 | 155 | 0 | 0.12 | 17.5 |