Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLAR vs SF · Week 1
RB25 yrsNotre Dame17 games of history
Projection
14.2
Floor
9.5
Ceiling
21.4
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.4%
Spike rate
12%
Leverage
1.25×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs ARI | 63% | 5 | 14% | 12 | 81 | 0 | -0.21 | 11.1 |
| 17 | @ ATL | 71% | 3 | 8% | 13 | 130 | 0 | 0.04 | 16.0 |
| 16 | @ SEA | 71% | 6 | 13% | 23 | 85 | 0 | -0.15 | 11.5 |
| 15 | vs DET | 54% | 1 | 3% | 15 | 88 | 2 | 0.12 | 21.8 |
| 14 | @ ARI | 51% | 2 | 6% | 13 | 97 | 1 | 0.43 | 17.7 |
| 13 | @ CAR | 67% | 1 | 4% | 13 | 72 | 1 | 0.27 | 13.2 |
| 12 | vs TB | 66% | 1 | 3% | 12 | 48 | 0 | -0.16 | 5.8 |
| 11 | vs SEA | 69% | 2 | 7% | 12 | 96 | 1 | 0.26 | 16.6 |
| 10 | @ SF | 58% | 3 | 9% | 14 | 84 | 2 | 0.20 | 22.4 |
| 9 | vs NO | 69% | 0 | 0% | 25 | 114 | 1 | 0.21 | 17.4 |
| 7 | @ JAX | 60% | 3 | 9% | 12 | 65 | 0 | 0.09 | 8.5 |
| 6 | @ BAL | 75% | 2 | 8% | 13 | 87 | 1 | 0.32 | 16.7 |