Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDET vs NO · Week 1
WR25 yrsAlabama17 games of history
Projection
15.3
Floor
7.4
Ceiling
27.3
Edge vs market
+2.4
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.6%
Spike rate
28%
Leverage
2.73×
Hits his ceiling 28% of the time at a projected 4.6% ownership — 2.73× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 12 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ CHI | 95% | 8 | 22% | 0 | 74 | 0 | 0.70 | 13.4 |
| 17 | @ MIN | 83% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 37 | 0 | 0.67 | 5.7 |
| 16 | vs PIT | 95% | 9 | 17% | 0 | 70 | 0 | 0.21 | 12.0 |
| 15 | @ LA | 91% | 10 | 26% | 0 | 134 | 1 | 0.87 | 26.4 |
| 14 | vs DAL | 92% | 9 | 29% | 1 | 103 | 0 | 0.64 | 17.3 |
| 13 | vs GB | 94% | 10 | 37% | 1 | 139 | 1 | 0.54 | 26.9 |
| 12 | vs NYG | 97% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.05 | 0.0 |
| 11 | @ PHI | 95% | 7 | 19% | 1 | 97 | 1 | 0.33 | 19.7 |
| 10 | @ WAS | 87% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 119 | 1 | 1.46 | 23.9 |
| 9 | vs MIN | 91% | 6 | 17% | 0 | 66 | 1 | 0.91 | 16.6 |
| 7 | vs TB | 85% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.50 | 0.0 |
| 6 | @ KC | 85% | 7 | 26% | 0 | 66 | 1 | 0.46 | 18.6 |