Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCAR vs CHI · Week 1
WR26 yrsAlabama13 games of history
Projection
8.7
Floor
4.5
Ceiling
15.1
Edge vs market
+2.2
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
1%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ BUF | 71% | 4 | 18% |
0.25×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 20 |
| 0 |
| 0.20 |
| 5.0 |
| 17 | vs NE | 76% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0.80 | 7.1 |
| 16 | @ NO | 86% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1.13 | 1.4 |
| 15 | @ JAX | 74% | 5 | 16% | 1 | 29 | 0 | 0.00 | 6.9 |
| 14 | vs MIA | 97% | 8 | 25% | 0 | 34 | 0 | -0.52 | 7.4 |
| 13 | vs ATL | 97% | 8 | 26% | 1 | 17 | 0 | -0.66 | 5.7 |
| 12 | @ BAL | 86% | 7 | 26% | 0 | 65 | 1 | 0.52 | 18.5 |
| 11 | @ NE | 82% | 3 | 12% | 0 | 45 | 1 | 2.05 | 13.5 |
| 10 | vs CLE | 16% | 1 | 9% | 1 | -4 | 0 | -1.39 | 0.6 |
| 4 | @ TB | 9% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.24 | 3.0 |
| 3 | vs LA | 3% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0.33 | 1.8 |
| 2 | @ KC | 12% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.74 | 1.0 |