Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNYJ vs TEN · Week 1
WR26 yrsOhio State7 games of history
Projection
11.8
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
25.4
Edge vs market
-2.6
Confidence
72%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.4%
Spike rate
19%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | vs CLE | 39% | 3 | 27% |
Leverage
3.62×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| -2.06 |
| 0.0 |
| 6 | vs DEN | 84% | 8 | 50% | 0 | 13 | 0 | -0.68 | 4.3 |
| 5 | vs DAL | 94% | 10 | 23% | 0 | 71 | 1 | 0.46 | 19.1 |
| 4 | @ MIA | 98% | 8 | 30% | 0 | 82 | 1 | 0.48 | 20.2 |
| 3 | @ TB | 100% | 13 | 37% | 0 | 84 | 1 | -0.10 | 24.4 |
| 2 | vs BUF | 94% | 8 | 38% | 0 | 50 | 0 | -0.11 | 9.0 |
| 1 | vs PIT | 100% | 9 | 43% | 0 | 95 | 1 | 0.36 | 22.5 |