Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNO vs DET · Week 1
WR26 yrsOhio State16 games of history
Projection
18.4
Floor
9.6
Ceiling
31.8
Edge vs market
+3.2
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
8.9%
Spike rate
43%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | @ TEN | 91% | 11 | 41% |
Leverage
2.15×
Hits his ceiling 43% of the time at a projected 8.9% ownership — 2.15× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 8 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 119 |
| 1 |
| 0.87 |
| 25.9 |
| 16 | vs NYJ | 78% | 16 | 34% | 0 | 148 | 2 | 0.73 | 36.8 |
| 15 | vs CAR | 84% | 9 | 29% | 0 | 85 | 1 | 0.44 | 20.5 |
| 14 | @ TB | 93% | 5 | 25% | 0 | 30 | 0 | -0.28 | 6.0 |
| 13 | @ MIA | 88% | 7 | 21% | 0 | 47 | 1 | -0.25 | 14.7 |
| 12 | vs ATL | 80% | 13 | 30% | 0 | 70 | 0 | -0.04 | 16.0 |
| 10 | @ CAR | 54% | 8 | 31% | 0 | 104 | 1 | 0.85 | 21.4 |
| 9 | @ LA | 88% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 57 | 0 | 0.69 | 8.7 |
| 8 | vs TB | 93% | 12 | 24% | 1 | 60 | 0 | -0.43 | 14.0 |
| 7 | @ CHI | 84% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 98 | 2 | 1.21 | 26.8 |
| 6 | vs NE | 88% | 10 | 38% | 0 | 98 | 0 | 0.19 | 15.8 |
| 5 | vs NYG | 73% | 11 | 35% | 0 | 59 | 0 | 0.03 | 12.9 |