Season2026·Week1
UpgradeIND vs BAL · Week 1
WRPUP26 yrsCincinnati15 games of history
Projection
12.8
Floor
3.0
Ceiling
27.9
Edge vs market
+1.4
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.7%
Spike rate
25%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ HOU | 68% | 7 | 21% |
Leverage
4.01×
Hits his ceiling 25% of the time at a projected 2.7% ownership — 4.01× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 14 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 132 |
| 2 |
| 1.44 |
| 29.2 |
| 17 | vs JAX | 91% | 5 | 17% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.90 | 0.0 |
| 16 | vs SF | 97% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 86 | 2 | 2.41 | 24.6 |
| 15 | @ SEA | 100% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1.73 | 2.6 |
| 14 | @ JAX | 83% | 8 | 22% | 0 | 80 | 0 | 0.75 | 13.0 |
| 13 | vs HOU | 96% | 5 | 20% | 0 | 78 | 1 | 1.31 | 17.8 |
| 12 | @ KC | 96% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 26 | 0 | 0.37 | 3.6 |
| 10 | vs ATL | 95% | 7 | 27% | 0 | 84 | 1 | 0.84 | 18.4 |
| 9 | @ PIT | 91% | 13 | 27% | 0 | 115 | 0 | 0.10 | 17.5 |
| 8 | vs TEN | 81% | 5 | 18% | 0 | 69 | 0 | 0.68 | 8.9 |
| 7 | @ LAC | 87% | 10 | 31% | 0 | 98 | 0 | 0.41 | 14.8 |
| 6 | vs ARI | 81% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0.61 | 6.8 |