Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDAL vs NYG · Week 1
WR25 yrsGeorgia17 games of history
Projection
15.3
Floor
6.2
Ceiling
29.3
Edge vs market
-0.5
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.8%
Spike rate
31%
Leverage
2.89×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ NYG | 45% | 3 | 13% | 0 | 9 | 0 | -1.26 | 1.9 |
| 17 | @ WAS | 87% | 5 | 14% | 0 | 78 | 0 | 1.40 | 11.8 |
| 16 | vs LAC | 88% | 9 | 28% | 0 | 130 | 1 | 1.17 | 26.0 |
| 15 | vs MIN | 86% | 6 | 17% | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.3 |
| 14 | @ DET | 84% | 9 | 19% | 0 | 37 | 0 | -0.51 | 8.7 |
| 13 | vs KC | 74% | 13 | 35% | 0 | 88 | 0 | -0.19 | 16.8 |
| 12 | vs PHI | 78% | 9 | 26% | 0 | 146 | 1 | 1.32 | 29.6 |
| 11 | @ LV | 67% | 11 | 34% | 0 | 144 | 1 | 1.11 | 29.4 |
| 9 | vs ARI | 91% | 9 | 25% | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0.36 | 13.9 |
| 8 | @ DEN | 80% | 9 | 26% | 0 | 78 | 0 | 0.88 | 14.8 |
| 7 | vs WAS | 84% | 6 | 20% | 0 | 82 | 0 | 0.63 | 12.2 |
| 6 | @ CAR | 84% | 11 | 32% | 0 | 168 | 1 | 1.52 | 31.8 |