Season2026·Week1
UpgradeBUF vs HOU · Week 1
WR26 yrsBoise State16 games of history
Projection
11.6
Floor
6.9
Ceiling
18.6
Edge vs market
+1.0
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.5%
Spike rate
4%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs PHI | 78% | 7 | 21% |
Leverage
0.41×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 35 |
| 0 |
| -0.25 |
| 9.5 |
| 16 | @ CLE | 48% | 5 | 28% | 0 | 34 | 0 | -0.30 | 7.4 |
| 15 | @ NE | 69% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 65 | 0 | 0.97 | 11.5 |
| 14 | vs CIN | 50% | 3 | 11% | 0 | 16 | 1 | 0.31 | 9.6 |
| 13 | @ PIT | 49% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.61 | 1.5 |
| 12 | @ HOU | 67% | 10 | 31% | 0 | 110 | 0 | -0.46 | 17.0 |
| 11 | vs TB | 54% | 3 | 10% | 0 | -3 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.7 |
| 10 | @ MIA | 66% | 9 | 23% | 0 | 58 | 0 | 0.42 | 12.8 |
| 9 | vs KC | 61% | 8 | 32% | 0 | 43 | 0 | -0.24 | 11.3 |
| 8 | @ CAR | 48% | 7 | 30% | 0 | 88 | 1 | 0.91 | 20.8 |
| 6 | @ ATL | 60% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.3 |
| 5 | vs NE | 63% | 9 | 30% | 1 | 50 | 0 | -0.21 | 11.0 |