Season2026·Week1
UpgradeARI vs LAC · Week 1
TE26 yrsColorado State17 games of history
Projection
21.2
Floor
12.6
Ceiling
34.2
Edge vs market
0.0
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
9.9%
Spike rate
75%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ LA | 95% | 8 | 29% |
3.38×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 65 |
| 0 |
| 0.19 |
| 13.5 |
| 17 | @ CIN | 96% | 13 | 37% | 0 | 76 | 1 | 0.23 | 23.6 |
| 16 | vs ATL | 96% | 8 | 28% | 0 | 27 | 0 | -0.32 | 6.7 |
| 15 | @ HOU | 92% | 13 | 34% | 0 | 134 | 2 | 0.92 | 37.4 |
| 14 | vs LA | 97% | 9 | 20% | 0 | 58 | 0 | -0.03 | 10.8 |
| 13 | @ TB | 89% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 82 | 1 | 0.69 | 22.2 |
| 12 | vs JAX | 88% | 10 | 22% | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0.57 | 16.9 |
| 11 | vs SF | 89% | 11 | 20% | 0 | 115 | 1 | 0.54 | 27.5 |
| 10 | @ SEA | 84% | 13 | 30% | 0 | 127 | 1 | 1.13 | 27.7 |
| 9 | @ DAL | 88% | 9 | 31% | 0 | 55 | 1 | 0.26 | 16.5 |
| 7 | vs GB | 87% | 13 | 38% | 0 | 74 | 2 | 0.53 | 29.4 |
| 6 | @ IND | 90% | 11 | 28% | 0 | 72 | 1 | 0.29 | 21.2 |