Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTEN vs NYJ · Week 1
WR25 yrsKentucky16 games of history
Projection
16.6
Floor
9.1
Ceiling
27.9
Edge vs market
+5.6
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
5.6%
Spike rate
33%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | @ LV | 75% | 14 | 48% |
2.61×
Hits his ceiling 33% of the time at a projected 5.6% ownership — 2.61× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 36 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 113 |
| 0 |
| 0.31 |
| 22.3 |
| 16 | vs MIN | 98% | 6 | 46% | 1 | 22 | 0 | -0.49 | 5.2 |
| 15 | vs WAS | 99% | 10 | 28% | 0 | 54 | 1 | 0.08 | 16.4 |
| 13 | @ NE | 100% | 8 | 33% | 0 | 34 | 0 | -0.17 | 10.4 |
| 12 | @ DET | 83% | 14 | 41% | 1 | 156 | 1 | 0.40 | 30.6 |
| 11 | vs GB | 97% | 9 | 31% | 0 | 36 | 0 | -0.22 | 7.6 |
| 10 | @ CHI | 99% | 11 | 34% | 0 | 62 | 0 | 0.05 | 12.2 |
| 9 | vs SF | 100% | 11 | 34% | 0 | 46 | 0 | -0.06 | 13.6 |
| 8 | @ PHI | 98% | 4 | 18% | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0.26 | 7.8 |
| 7 | @ DEN | 91% | 12 | 36% | 0 | 95 | 0 | 0.36 | 15.5 |
| 6 | vs PHI | 97% | 7 | 27% | 0 | 84 | 1 | 0.84 | 20.4 |
| 5 | @ NO | 95% | 7 | 18% | 1 | 32 | 0 | -0.17 | 8.2 |