Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTB vs CIN · Week 1
TE27 yrsWashington15 games of history
Projection
13.2
Floor
6.6
Ceiling
23.2
Edge vs market
+3.4
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.7%
Spike rate
40%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs CAR | 96% | 9 | 41% |
Leverage
10.25×
Hits his ceiling 40% of the time at a projected 1.7% ownership — 10.25× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 13 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 94 |
| 1 |
| 0.46 |
| 22.4 |
| 17 | @ MIA | 97% | 4 | 9% | 0 | 33 | 0 | 0.38 | 7.3 |
| 16 | @ CAR | 94% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0.35 | 3.5 |
| 14 | vs NO | 81% | 4 | 14% | 0 | 19 | 0 | -0.28 | 4.9 |
| 13 | vs ARI | 97% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 9 | 0 | -0.06 | 2.9 |
| 12 | @ LA | 86% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 21 | 0 | -1.17 | 6.1 |
| 11 | @ BUF | 97% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 28 | 0 | -0.15 | 4.8 |
| 10 | vs NE | 97% | 12 | 28% | 0 | 82 | 0 | 0.20 | 17.2 |
| 8 | @ NO | 97% | 5 | 21% | 0 | 40 | 0 | 0.55 | 8.0 |
| 7 | @ DET | 97% | 9 | 18% | 0 | 65 | 0 | -0.22 | 13.5 |
| 6 | vs SF | 100% | 6 | 26% | 0 | 51 | 0 | 0.02 | 10.1 |
| 5 | @ SEA | 92% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 81 | 0 | 1.35 | 12.1 |