Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCAR vs CHI · Week 1
TE26 yrsNotre Dame15 games of history
Projection
7.3
Floor
2.9
Ceiling
14.1
Edge vs market
+1.7
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
5%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ TB | 90% | 4 | 13% |
Leverage
2.19×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 38 |
| 1 |
| 1.00 |
| 12.8 |
| 17 | vs SEA | 77% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.26 | 1.6 |
| 16 | vs TB | 43% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.28 | 1.6 |
| 15 | @ NO | 49% | 4 | 20% | 0 | 13 | 0 | -0.12 | 3.3 |
| 13 | vs LA | 56% | 2 | 10% | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.04 | 1.2 |
| 11 | @ ATL | 57% | 2 | 5% | 0 | 54 | 0 | 1.61 | 6.4 |
| 9 | @ GB | 55% | 1 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.27 | 0.0 |
| 8 | vs BUF | 46% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.01 | 1.4 |
| 7 | @ NYJ | 66% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.87 | 1.0 |
| 6 | vs DAL | 73% | 4 | 19% | 0 | 39 | 0 | 0.41 | 7.9 |
| 5 | vs MIA | 76% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 7 | 0 | -0.15 | 1.7 |
| 4 | @ NE | 75% | 8 | 25% | 0 | 42 | 1 | 0.14 | 15.2 |