Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNE vs SEA · Week 1
RB28 yrsOklahoma14 games of history
Projection
13.3
Floor
2.6
Ceiling
29.7
Edge vs market
+1.4
Confidence
92%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.5%
Spike rate
28%
Leverage
3.52×
Hits his ceiling 28% of the time at a projected 3.5% ownership — 3.52× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 13 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs MIA | 47% | 2 | 10% | 7 | 153 | 3 | 1.48 | 35.3 |
| 17 | @ NYJ | 48% | 5 | 20% | 8 | 102 | 2 | 0.45 | 27.2 |
| 16 | @ BAL | 84% | 3 | 7% | 8 | 78 | 1 | 0.38 | 17.8 |
| 15 | vs BUF | 67% | 3 | 14% | 6 | 77 | 0 | 0.44 | 10.7 |
| 13 | vs NYG | 58% | 3 | 10% | 12 | 80 | 0 | -0.22 | 11.0 |
| 12 | @ CIN | 31% | 2 | 6% | 6 | 10 | 0 | -1.01 | 2.0 |
| 8 | vs CLE | 74% | 2 | 9% | 14 | 49 | 0 | -0.22 | 5.9 |
| 7 | @ TEN | 75% | 2 | 8% | 18 | 88 | 1 | 0.02 | 16.8 |
| 6 | @ NO | 72% | 1 | 4% | 13 | 18 | 0 | -0.52 | 1.8 |
| 5 | @ BUF | 52% | 2 | 7% | 7 | 27 | 2 | -0.58 | 14.7 |
| 4 | vs CAR | 57% | 1 | 6% | 9 | 41 | 0 | -0.35 | 5.1 |
| 3 | vs PIT | 36% | 3 | 8% | 4 | 56 | 0 | -0.91 | 4.6 |