Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTEN vs NYJ · Week 1
RB27 yrsNorth Carolina13 games of history
Projection
8.0
Floor
4.7
Ceiling
13.2
Edge vs market
+4.0
Confidence
90%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ LA | 0% | 3 | 11% |
Leverage
0.02×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 7 |
| 39 |
| 0 |
| -0.02 |
| 6.9 |
| 17 | @ CIN | 44% | 4 | 11% | 7 | 43 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.3 |
| 16 | vs ATL | 0% | 2 | 7% | 11 | 65 | 0 | -0.20 | 6.5 |
| 15 | @ HOU | 0% | 4 | 11% | 14 | 94 | 0 | 0.28 | 13.4 |
| 14 | vs LA | 0% | 4 | 9% | 3 | 31 | 0 | -0.46 | 5.1 |
| 13 | @ TB | 0% | 6 | 16% | 5 | 64 | 0 | 0.15 | 11.4 |
| 12 | vs JAX | 0% | 3 | 7% | 5 | 58 | 0 | 0.51 | 8.8 |
| 11 | vs SF | 42% | 7 | 13% | 2 | 28 | 0 | -0.01 | 7.8 |
| 10 | @ SEA | 0% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 4 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.4 |
| 7 | vs GB | 37% | 2 | 6% | 7 | 36 | 0 | -0.14 | 5.6 |
| 6 | @ IND | 44% | 5 | 13% | 9 | 64 | 0 | -0.14 | 8.4 |
| 5 | vs TEN | 57% | 5 | 17% | 18 | 73 | 1 | -0.16 | 18.3 |