Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDAL vs NYG · Week 1
RB26 yrsNorth Carolina16 games of history
Projection
12.1
Floor
7.6
Ceiling
19.0
Edge vs market
-0.8
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.8%
Spike rate
5%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | @ WAS | 27% | 2 | 6% |
Leverage
0.76×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 13 |
| 54 |
| 1 |
| 0.16 |
| 11.4 |
| 16 | vs LAC | 57% | 3 | 9% | 9 | 43 | 0 | -0.09 | 6.3 |
| 15 | vs MIN | 29% | 0 | 0% | 15 | 91 | 1 | 0.35 | 15.1 |
| 14 | @ DET | 79% | 4 | 9% | 17 | 67 | 1 | -0.11 | 14.7 |
| 13 | vs KC | 78% | 3 | 8% | 17 | 80 | 1 | -0.13 | 17.0 |
| 12 | vs PHI | 78% | 3 | 9% | 20 | 101 | 0 | -0.20 | 12.1 |
| 11 | @ LV | 78% | 1 | 3% | 22 | 93 | 0 | -0.14 | 10.3 |
| 9 | vs ARI | 87% | 1 | 3% | 15 | 83 | 0 | -0.12 | 7.3 |
| 8 | @ DEN | 72% | 2 | 6% | 13 | 49 | 2 | 0.11 | 17.9 |
| 7 | vs WAS | 69% | 4 | 13% | 19 | 118 | 1 | -0.15 | 18.8 |
| 6 | @ CAR | 85% | 8 | 24% | 13 | 34 | 0 | -0.47 | 8.4 |
| 5 | @ NYJ | 77% | 2 | 7% | 16 | 139 | 2 | 0.41 | 26.9 |