Season2026·Week1
UpgradeTB vs CIN · Week 1
RB27 yrsMemphis17 games of history
Projection
11.6
Floor
3.8
Ceiling
23.6
Edge vs market
+2.1
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.4%
Spike rate
15%
Leverage
2.85×
Hits his ceiling 15% of the time at a projected 2.4% ownership — 2.85× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 7 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs BAL | — | 9 | 20% | 5 | 74 | 1 | -0.01 | 21.4 |
| 17 | @ CLE | — | 4 | 11% | 7 | 38 | 0 | -0.42 | 6.8 |
| 16 | @ DET | — | 7 | 18% | 9 | 128 | 1 | 0.43 | 23.8 |
| 15 | vs MIA | — | 7 | 26% | 13 | 126 | 0 | 0.28 | 19.6 |
| 14 | @ BAL | — | 7 | 21% | 4 | 42 | 1 | 0.20 | 16.2 |
| 13 | vs BUF | — | 3 | 14% | 5 | 45 | 0 | -0.54 | 6.5 |
| 12 | @ CHI | — | 6 | 19% | 10 | 122 | 0 | 0.36 | 18.2 |
| 11 | vs CIN | — | 8 | 28% | 9 | 105 | 2 | 0.56 | 29.5 |
| 10 | @ LAC | — | 3 | 11% | 0 | 4 | 0 | -0.89 | 2.4 |
| 9 | vs IND | — | 5 | 14% | 3 | 34 | 0 | 0.10 | 7.4 |
| 8 | vs GB | — | 2 | 6% | 5 | 35 | 0 | -0.57 | 3.5 |
| 7 | @ CIN | — | 2 | 6% | 3 | 15 | 0 | -0.15 | 3.5 |