Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCIN vs TB · Week 1
WR26 yrsLSU16 games of history
Projection
20.4
Floor
13.4
Ceiling
31.1
Edge vs market
+0.0
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
13.7%
Spike rate
52%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs CLE | 100% | 10 | 26% |
Leverage
1.70×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 96 |
| 1 |
| 0.79 |
| 23.6 |
| 17 | vs ARI | 77% | 9 | 27% | 0 | 60 | 2 | 0.54 | 25.0 |
| 16 | @ MIA | 87% | 11 | 35% | 0 | 109 | 0 | 0.56 | 19.9 |
| 15 | vs BAL | 97% | 16 | 44% | 0 | 132 | 0 | 0.26 | 23.2 |
| 14 | @ BUF | 100% | 8 | 22% | 1 | 52 | 0 | -1.42 | 10.2 |
| 13 | @ BAL | 99% | 14 | 32% | 0 | 110 | 0 | 0.52 | 18.0 |
| 11 | @ PIT | 97% | 10 | 26% | 0 | 30 | 0 | -0.30 | 6.0 |
| 9 | vs CHI | 99% | 8 | 18% | 0 | 111 | 0 | 0.70 | 17.1 |
| 8 | vs NYJ | 98% | 19 | 58% | 0 | 91 | 0 | 0.05 | 21.1 |
| 7 | vs PIT | 99% | 23 | 51% | 0 | 161 | 1 | 0.37 | 38.1 |
| 6 | @ GB | 100% | 12 | 30% | 1 | 91 | 1 | 0.44 | 25.1 |
| 5 | vs DET | 92% | 10 | 25% | 0 | 110 | 2 | 0.40 | 29.0 |