Season2026·Week1
UpgradeATL vs PIT · Week 1
TE25 yrsFlorida17 games of history
Projection
17.8
Floor
6.7
Ceiling
34.7
Edge vs market
+3.3
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.7%
Spike rate
59%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs NO | 92% | 9 | 30% |
5.57×
Hits his ceiling 59% of the time at a projected 4.7% ownership — 5.57× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 6 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 58 |
| 0 |
| -0.07 |
| 11.8 |
| 17 | vs LA | 92% | 3 | 15% | 0 | 16 | 0 | -0.16 | 3.6 |
| 16 | @ ARI | 87% | 9 | 26% | 0 | 57 | 1 | 0.99 | 18.7 |
| 15 | @ TB | 96% | 12 | 29% | 0 | 166 | 3 | 1.13 | 45.6 |
| 14 | vs SEA | 92% | 10 | 36% | 0 | 90 | 0 | -0.00 | 15.0 |
| 13 | @ NYJ | 91% | 8 | 26% | 0 | 82 | 0 | 0.94 | 15.2 |
| 12 | @ NO | 95% | 5 | 25% | 0 | 25 | 0 | -1.97 | 4.5 |
| 11 | vs CAR | 83% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0.08 | 3.4 |
| 10 | @ IND | 92% | 5 | 20% | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.12 | 5.8 |
| 9 | @ NE | 95% | 7 | 21% | 0 | 38 | 0 | -0.50 | 7.8 |
| 8 | vs MIA | 92% | 9 | 30% | 0 | 59 | 0 | -0.51 | 14.9 |
| 7 | @ SF | 82% | 10 | 28% | 0 | 62 | 0 | 0.28 | 13.2 |