Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDET vs NO · Week 1
WR26 yrsUSC17 games of history
Projection
19.6
Floor
9.3
Ceiling
35.5
Edge vs market
+0.3
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
11.7%
Spike rate
49%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ CHI | 95% | 15 | 42% |
Leverage
1.85×
Hits his ceiling 49% of the time at a projected 11.7% ownership — 1.85× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 2 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 139 |
| 0 |
| 0.40 |
| 24.9 |
| 17 | @ MIN | 83% | 13 | 45% | 0 | 68 | 0 | -0.03 | 14.8 |
| 16 | vs PIT | 97% | 9 | 17% | 0 | 54 | 0 | -0.10 | 9.4 |
| 15 | @ LA | 95% | 18 | 47% | 0 | 164 | 2 | 0.59 | 41.4 |
| 14 | vs DAL | 92% | 9 | 29% | 0 | 92 | 0 | 0.26 | 15.2 |
| 13 | vs GB | 6% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.51 | 0.0 |
| 12 | vs NYG | 97% | 13 | 34% | 0 | 149 | 1 | 0.45 | 29.9 |
| 11 | @ PHI | 97% | 12 | 33% | 0 | 42 | 0 | -0.89 | 6.2 |
| 10 | @ WAS | 77% | 8 | 25% | 0 | 58 | 1 | 0.51 | 16.8 |
| 9 | vs MIN | 95% | 13 | 36% | 0 | 97 | 0 | 0.19 | 18.7 |
| 7 | vs TB | 91% | 10 | 36% | 0 | 86 | 1 | -0.00 | 20.6 |
| 6 | @ KC | 89% | 10 | 37% | 1 | 47 | 0 | -0.01 | 13.7 |