Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNO vs DET · Week 1
RB27 yrsClemson17 games of history
Projection
13.8
Floor
6.2
Ceiling
25.4
Edge vs market
+1.1
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
3.9%
Spike rate
22%
Leverage
2.47×
Hits his ceiling 22% of the time at a projected 3.9% ownership — 2.47× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 6 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs TEN | 56% | 1 | 3% | 14 | 38 | 0 | -0.19 | 4.8 |
| 17 | @ IND | 70% | 3 | 8% | 17 | 92 | 0 | -0.04 | 11.2 |
| 16 | @ DEN | 70% | 5 | 14% | 16 | 66 | 1 | -0.23 | 16.6 |
| 15 | vs NYJ | 61% | 4 | 14% | 12 | 105 | 3 | 0.40 | 31.5 |
| 14 | vs IND | 72% | 1 | 3% | 20 | 82 | 2 | -0.28 | 21.2 |
| 13 | @ TEN | 49% | 1 | 4% | 12 | 41 | 0 | -0.25 | 5.1 |
| 12 | @ ARI | 65% | 4 | 13% | 15 | 116 | 1 | 0.05 | 20.6 |
| 11 | vs LAC | 49% | 2 | 9% | 19 | 73 | 2 | 0.06 | 19.3 |
| 10 | @ HOU | 56% | 4 | 17% | 16 | 77 | 1 | -0.13 | 15.7 |
| 9 | @ LV | 57% | 5 | 15% | 22 | 115 | 0 | 0.26 | 16.5 |
| 7 | vs LA | 55% | 3 | 6% | 8 | 55 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.5 |
| 6 | vs SEA | 62% | 5 | 12% | 12 | 55 | 0 | -0.21 | 9.5 |