Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLAC vs ARI · Week 1
RB26 yrsBuffalo6 games of history
Projection
6.1
Floor
2.3
Ceiling
12.0
Edge vs market
+2.2
Confidence
67%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Leverage
0.01×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ DEN | 79% | 4 | 11% | 8 | 37 | 0 | -0.26 | 6.7 |
| 17 | vs HOU | 13% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.1 |
| 13 | vs LV | 22% | 0 | 0% | 11 | 54 | 1 | 0.25 | 11.4 |
| 10 | vs PIT | 5% | 0 | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0.49 | 0.1 |
| 9 | @ TEN | 28% | 0 | 0% | 9 | 44 | 0 | -0.11 | 4.4 |
| 8 | vs MIN | 21% | 0 | 0% | 11 | 30 | 0 | -0.06 | 3.0 |