Season2026·Week1
UpgradeDEN vs KC · Week 1
WRQuestionable27 yrsAlabama16 games of history
Projection
12.0
Floor
5.5
Ceiling
21.9
Edge vs market
-1.8
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.4%
Spike rate
12%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs TB | 25% | 1 | 5% |
Leverage
2.20×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 1 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| -0.26 |
| 0.7 |
| 16 | vs CIN | 71% | 9 | 31% | 0 | 72 | 0 | -0.20 | 12.2 |
| 15 | @ PIT | 84% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 26 | 0 | -0.81 | 4.6 |
| 14 | @ NYJ | 78% | 7 | 33% | 1 | 71 | 1 | 0.64 | 18.1 |
| 13 | vs NO | 92% | 6 | 30% | 0 | 40 | 0 | -0.39 | 7.0 |
| 11 | vs WAS | 84% | 7 | 35% | 0 | 52 | 0 | -0.03 | 8.2 |
| 10 | vs BUF | 83% | 7 | 33% | 0 | 84 | 1 | 0.65 | 19.4 |
| 9 | vs BAL | 80% | 9 | 24% | 0 | 82 | 0 | 0.81 | 14.2 |
| 8 | @ ATL | 78% | 6 | 22% | 0 | 99 | 1 | 1.33 | 20.9 |
| 7 | @ CLE | 76% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 15 | 0 | -0.13 | 2.5 |
| 6 | vs LAC | 78% | 8 | 27% | 0 | 103 | 0 | 0.12 | 15.8 |
| 5 | @ CAR | 89% | 9 | 26% | 0 | 110 | 1 | 1.16 | 23.0 |