Season2026·Week1
UpgradePHI vs WSH · Week 1
WRQuestionable27 yrsAlabama17 games of history
Projection
12.8
Floor
6.9
Ceiling
21.8
Edge vs market
-1.7
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.9%
Spike rate
12%
Leverage
1.90×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs WAS | 14% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 52 | 0 | 0.42 | 8.2 |
| 17 | @ BUF | 85% | 5 | 23% | 0 | 25 | 0 | 0.00 | 4.5 |
| 16 | @ WAS | 86% | 8 | 28% | 0 | 42 | 1 | 0.46 | 16.2 |
| 15 | vs LV | 52% | 2 | 11% | 0 | 50 | 0 | 2.34 | 7.0 |
| 14 | @ LAC | 97% | 8 | 21% | 0 | 37 | 0 | -0.58 | 7.7 |
| 13 | vs CHI | 94% | 8 | 27% | 0 | 48 | 0 | 0.33 | 9.8 |
| 12 | @ DAL | 95% | 11 | 31% | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0.39 | 14.9 |
| 11 | vs DET | 97% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 8 | 0 | -0.80 | 1.8 |
| 10 | @ GB | 92% | 7 | 30% | 0 | 69 | 1 | 0.73 | 16.9 |
| 8 | vs NYG | 90% | 9 | 45% | 0 | 84 | 0 | 0.42 | 14.4 |
| 7 | @ MIN | 88% | 11 | 48% | 0 | 183 | 1 | 0.93 | 33.3 |
| 6 | @ NYG | 96% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 49 | 0 | 1.19 | 8.9 |