Season2026·Week1
UpgradeJAX vs CLE · Week 1
QB26 yrsClemson17 games of history
Projection
14.4
Floor
6.1
Ceiling
27.0
Edge vs market
+2.5
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
4.4%
Spike rate
13%
Leverage
1.35×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs TEN | 82% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 266 | 3 | 0.36 | 23.3 |
| 17 | @ IND | 100% | 0 | 0% | 8 | 289 | 2 | 0.13 | 23.1 |
| 16 | @ DEN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 6 | 299 | 4 | 0.29 | 31.2 |
| 15 | vs NYJ | 87% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 381 | 6 | 0.79 | 44.3 |
| 14 | vs IND | 91% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 260 | 2 | 0.47 | 19.4 |
| 13 | @ TEN | 95% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 254 | 2 | 0.28 | 21.7 |
| 12 | @ ARI | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 285 | 3 | -0.17 | 17.1 |
| 11 | vs LAC | 89% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 162 | 2 | 0.07 | 15.0 |
| 10 | @ HOU | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 193 | 1 | -0.27 | 9.8 |
| 9 | @ LV | 100% | 0 | 0% | 9 | 244 | 2 | 0.05 | 21.2 |
| 7 | vs LA | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 314 | 1 | -0.31 | 17.6 |
| 6 | vs SEA | 100% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 267 | 2 | 0.04 | 19.2 |