Season2026·Week1
UpgradeMIN vs GB · Week 1
WR29 yrsTennessee15 games of history
Projection
12.4
Floor
7.9
Ceiling
19.2
Edge vs market
+1.8
Confidence
94%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.4%
Spike rate
5%
Leverage
0.96×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs SEA | 88% | 6 | 22% | 0 | 35 | 0 | -0.21 | 7.5 |
| 17 | vs CHI | 90% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 42 | 1 | -1.42 | 12.2 |
| 16 | @ IND | 82% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 71 | 1 | 1.51 | 18.1 |
| 15 | vs TEN | 81% | 5 | 18% | 0 | 37 | 2 | 0.82 | 18.7 |
| 13 | @ CLE | 81% | 6 | 26% | 0 | 39 | 1 | 0.91 | 13.9 |
| 12 | vs CAR | 90% | 7 | 22% | 0 | 41 | 1 | -0.15 | 15.1 |
| 11 | @ ARI | 75% | 6 | 24% | 0 | 54 | 0 | 0.45 | 9.4 |
| 10 | vs LA | 92% | 9 | 23% | 0 | 71 | 1 | -0.40 | 17.1 |
| 9 | @ NYG | 79% | 5 | 22% | 0 | 41 | 1 | 0.73 | 14.1 |
| 8 | @ HOU | 85% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 45 | 0 | -0.16 | 8.5 |
| 7 | vs ATL | 85% | 7 | 29% | 0 | 31 | 0 | -0.79 | 7.1 |
| 6 | @ TB | 77% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 7 | 0 | -1.03 | 1.7 |