Season2026·Week1
UpgradePIT vs ATL · Week 1
RB28 yrsSouth Carolina17 games of history
Projection
12.5
Floor
5.6
Ceiling
23.0
Edge vs market
+0.9
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.9%
Spike rate
15%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ TB | 53% | 2 | 7% |
Leverage
2.27×
Hits his ceiling 15% of the time at a projected 2.9% ownership — 2.27× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 10 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 7 |
| 30 |
| 0 |
| -0.69 |
| 3.0 |
| 17 | vs SEA | 64% | 5 | 24% | 12 | 63 | 0 | -0.18 | 9.3 |
| 16 | vs TB | 57% | 6 | 19% | 9 | 43 | 0 | -0.26 | 8.3 |
| 15 | @ NO | 60% | 1 | 5% | 16 | 54 | 1 | 0.05 | 12.4 |
| 13 | vs LA | 42% | 2 | 10% | 18 | 79 | 0 | -0.20 | 9.9 |
| 12 | @ SF | 65% | 4 | 15% | 6 | 74 | 0 | 0.15 | 11.4 |
| 11 | @ ATL | 82% | 7 | 16% | 19 | 100 | 0 | -0.08 | 15.0 |
| 10 | vs NO | 79% | 3 | 13% | 18 | 63 | 1 | -0.22 | 15.3 |
| 9 | @ GB | 72% | 3 | 16% | 25 | 141 | 2 | 0.15 | 28.1 |
| 8 | vs BUF | 36% | 0 | 0% | 8 | 54 | 0 | 0.20 | 5.4 |
| 7 | @ NYJ | 46% | 2 | 6% | 17 | 96 | 0 | 0.06 | 10.6 |
| 6 | vs DAL | 88% | 5 | 24% | 30 | 239 | 1 | 0.25 | 33.9 |