Season2026·Week1
UpgradeNO vs DET · Week 1
TE29 yrsOregon17 games of history
Projection
14.3
Floor
10.3
Ceiling
20.5
Edge vs market
+2.5
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.3%
Spike rate
44%
Leverage
8.50×
Hits his ceiling 44% of the time at a projected 2.3% ownership — 8.50× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 8 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ ATL | 75% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 61 | 0 | 0.26 | 7.1 |
| 17 | @ TEN | 72% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 95 | 0 | 1.73 | 13.5 |
| 16 | vs NYJ | 65% | 9 | 19% | 0 | 89 | 0 | 0.38 | 16.9 |
| 15 | vs CAR | 61% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 30 | 0 | 0.79 | 7.0 |
| 14 | @ TB | 53% | 4 | 20% | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0.73 | 7.8 |
| 13 | @ MIA | 72% | 9 | 26% | 0 | 39 | 0 | -0.20 | 8.9 |
| 12 | vs ATL | 78% | 7 | 16% | 0 | 46 | 0 | -0.03 | 10.6 |
| 10 | @ CAR | 50% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 92 | 1 | 2.47 | 19.2 |
| 9 | @ LA | 71% | 4 | 17% | 0 | 31 | 1 | 0.94 | 12.1 |
| 8 | vs TB | 76% | 8 | 16% | 0 | 53 | 0 | -0.08 | 10.3 |
| 7 | @ CHI | 71% | 7 | 23% | 0 | 79 | 0 | 0.57 | 12.9 |
| 6 | vs NE | 71% | 2 | 8% | 0 | 15 | 0 | -2.55 | 1.5 |