Season2026·Week1
UpgradePHI vs WSH · Week 1
QB28 yrsOklahoma16 games of history
Projection
11.7
Floor
4.2
Ceiling
23.1
Edge vs market
-1.2
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
2.6%
Spike rate
6%
Leverage
1.01×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | @ BUF | 100% | 0 | 0% | 3 | 115 | 1 | -0.11 | 8.9 |
| 16 | @ WAS | 94% | 0 | 0% | 7 | 225 | 2 | 0.24 | 19.4 |
| 15 | vs LV | 75% | 0 | 0% | 7 | 214 | 3 | 0.86 | 22.9 |
| 14 | @ LAC | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 248 | 0 | -0.38 | 2.4 |
| 13 | vs CHI | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 261 | 2 | -0.03 | 16.3 |
| 12 | @ DAL | 100% | 0 | 0% | 7 | 322 | 3 | 0.23 | 30.9 |
| 11 | vs DET | 100% | 0 | 0% | 10 | 166 | 1 | -0.33 | 14.5 |
| 10 | @ GB | 100% | 0 | 0% | 5 | 210 | 1 | 0.11 | 12.0 |
| 8 | vs NYG | 93% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 201 | 4 | 0.53 | 25.4 |
| 7 | @ MIN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 4 | 316 | 3 | 0.68 | 24.0 |
| 6 | @ NYG | 100% | 0 | 0% | 7 | 296 | 2 | 0.05 | 20.6 |
| 5 | vs DEN | 100% | 0 | 0% | 2 | 283 | 2 | 0.01 | 19.5 |