Season2026·Week1
UpgradeLAR vs SF · Week 1
TE27 yrsStanford14 games of history
Projection
13.4
Floor
6.8
Ceiling
23.6
Edge vs market
+3.2
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.8%
Spike rate
41%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs ARI | 84% | 7 | 19% |
Leverage
9.94×
Hits his ceiling 41% of the time at a projected 1.8% ownership — 9.94× the field's rate of return per roster slot. The market ranks him 10 spots lower than the model does.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 36 |
| 2 |
| 0.32 |
| 19.6 |
| 17 | @ ATL | 78% | 7 | 19% | 0 | 53 | 0 | 0.43 | 11.3 |
| 16 | @ SEA | 86% | 4 | 8% | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0.15 | 4.1 |
| 15 | vs DET | 86% | 7 | 18% | 0 | 75 | 2 | -0.26 | 24.5 |
| 14 | @ ARI | 69% | 5 | 16% | 0 | 32 | 1 | 0.53 | 12.2 |
| 13 | @ CAR | 67% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 27 | 0 | -0.77 | 6.7 |
| 12 | vs TB | 62% | 4 | 12% | 0 | 41 | 1 | 1.39 | 14.1 |
| 11 | vs SEA | 69% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 14 | 1 | 0.82 | 9.4 |
| 10 | @ SF | 57% | 5 | 15% | 0 | 41 | 1 | 1.04 | 14.1 |
| 9 | vs NO | 56% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 10 | 0 | -0.21 | 3.0 |
| 7 | @ JAX | 47% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 47 | 0 | 1.22 | 7.7 |
| 5 | vs SF | 37% | 1 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.60 | 0.0 |