Season2026·Week1
UpgradeWAS · Week 1
WR30 yrsFlorida14 games of history
Projection
6.8
Floor
4.3
Ceiling
10.7
Edge vs market
+2.3
Confidence
92%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
0%
Leverage
0.00×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | vs NO | 31% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 46 | 0 | 1.28 | 7.6 |
| 16 | vs KC | 68% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 24 | 0 | 1.28 | 4.4 |
| 15 | @ SF | 58% | 5 | 19% | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0.17 | 5.3 |
| 14 | @ CLE | 73% | 4 | 16% | 0 | 17 | 0 | -0.23 | 3.7 |
| 13 | vs JAX | 75% | 4 | 11% | 0 | 20 | 0 | -0.12 | 5.0 |
| 12 | vs SEA | 91% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 11 | 0 | 2.62 | 2.1 |
| 11 | vs HOU | 92% | 7 | 19% | 0 | 22 | 1 | -0.21 | 11.2 |
| 9 | vs LAC | 83% | 4 | 19% | 0 | 21 | 0 | -0.06 | 3.1 |
| 8 | @ IND | 79% | 8 | 22% | 0 | 6 | 0 | -0.84 | 1.6 |
| 7 | vs NE | 85% | 4 | 13% | 0 | 41 | 0 | 0.90 | 8.1 |
| 6 | @ LV | 74% | 6 | 18% | 0 | 75 | 0 | 0.59 | 11.5 |
| 4 | @ HOU | 38% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0.17 | 1.6 |