Season2026·Week1
UpgradeCHI vs CAR · Week 1
TE27 yrsNotre Dame16 games of history
Projection
8.7
Floor
5.9
Ceiling
12.9
Edge vs market
+2.6
Confidence
96%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
1.0%
Spike rate
2%
Leverage
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | vs DET | 89% | 3 | 10% |
0.68×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 0 |
| 16 |
| 0 |
| 0.70 |
| 5.6 |
| 17 | @ SF | 61% | 3 | 8% | 0 | 16 | 0 | 0.54 | 3.6 |
| 16 | vs GB | 77% | 3 | 10% | 0 | 14 | 0 | -0.22 | 3.4 |
| 15 | vs CLE | 73% | 4 | 15% | 0 | 28 | 0 | 0.13 | 4.8 |
| 14 | @ GB | 76% | 3 | 11% | 0 | 42 | 0 | -0.03 | 6.2 |
| 13 | @ PHI | 67% | 3 | 9% | 0 | 36 | 1 | 1.26 | 12.6 |
| 12 | vs PIT | 63% | 1 | 3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | -0.30 | 1.3 |
| 11 | @ MIN | 79% | 5 | 18% | 0 | 45 | 0 | 0.42 | 9.5 |
| 10 | vs NYG | 66% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 5 | 0 | -0.19 | 1.5 |
| 9 | @ CIN | 26% | 2 | 6% | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0.10 | 2.0 |
| 7 | vs NO | 41% | 1 | 4% | 0 | 16 | 0 | 1.23 | 2.6 |
| 6 | @ WAS | 52% | 2 | 7% | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.52 | 1.0 |