Season2026·Week1
UpgradeIND vs BAL · Week 1
RB27 yrsWisconsin17 games of history
Projection
16.5
Floor
6.0
Ceiling
32.4
Edge vs market
-1.8
Confidence
98%
Medallion engine
Each bar is that factor's fitted weight multiplied by this player's standardized value for it. Positive bars pushed the projection up relative to a league-average player at his position.
Contra engine
Proj. ownership
7.0%
Spike rate
37%
Game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap% | Tgt | Tgt Sh | Car | Yds | TD | EPA/p | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | @ HOU | 52% | 2 | 6% |
Leverage
2.38×
Ownership and outcome distribution are roughly in line — no structural edge in either direction. Own him if the projection says so, not for leverage.
Standardized factors
| 14 |
| 39 |
| 0 |
| -0.21 |
| 5.9 |
| 17 | vs JAX | 89% | 6 | 21% | 21 | 84 | 1 | -0.07 | 17.4 |
| 16 | vs SF | 88% | 3 | 8% | 16 | 79 | 1 | 0.14 | 16.9 |
| 15 | @ SEA | 85% | 4 | 15% | 25 | 101 | 0 | -0.09 | 13.1 |
| 14 | @ JAX | 74% | 0 | 0% | 21 | 74 | 1 | -0.41 | 11.4 |
| 13 | vs HOU | 98% | 5 | 20% | 21 | 121 | 0 | -0.08 | 15.1 |
| 12 | @ KC | 90% | 3 | 10% | 16 | 66 | 0 | -0.22 | 8.6 |
| 10 | vs ATL | 91% | 3 | 12% | 32 | 286 | 3 | 0.32 | 49.6 |
| 9 | @ PIT | 79% | 2 | 4% | 14 | 57 | 0 | 0.06 | 7.7 |
| 8 | vs TEN | 75% | 2 | 7% | 12 | 174 | 3 | 0.89 | 37.4 |
| 7 | @ LAC | 87% | 3 | 9% | 16 | 132 | 3 | 0.56 | 34.2 |
| 6 | vs ARI | 92% | 4 | 13% | 21 | 137 | 1 | 0.01 | 23.7 |